Introduction
The Asian Crisis of 1997 brought calls to strengthen monitoring of financial
markets in the region. In light of academic research on crisis “contagion” during the
1997 crisis, not only domestic regulatory agencies in Asia, but regional bodies as
well, have devoted increased resources to early warning systems to monitor the
likelihood of systemic crisis or instability in their own economies and regionally as
well.
This study proposes an early warning model for predicting bankruptcy of commercial
banks and investigates the usefulness of regional cooperation in designing such
models and monitoring the sector.
We hope that this study will serve as a reference to domestic regulators designing
early warning monitoring systems for their banking sector and encourage regional
cooperation in the design and monitoring of such systems.
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The views expressed in this paper are the views of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI), the Asian Development Bank (ADB), its Board of Directors, or the governments they represent. ADBI does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this paper and accepts no responsibility for any consequences of their use. Terminology used may not necessarily be consistent with ADB official terms.
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