Conclusions
The power sector has remained under public monopoly and riddled
with inefficiency in most developing countries. Increasing demand
and inadequate public investment has prompted enhanced private
investment. The initial phase of power sector reform in India invited
private investors in an environment characterized by policy
uncertainty and lack of independent regulatory institutions. Latin
American countries provided more policy clarity and predictable
regulation. These were able to attract significant private investment
even in the absence of sovereign guarantees.
Response of private investors to the initial phase of policy
initiatives in India has not been encouraging and capacity shortages
loom large. The Electricity Act 2003 and a number of regulatory
initiatives hold promise for enhanced private participation in the
sector. Lack of a roadmap to the process of reform raises risk
perceptions for investors and lenders alike. Experience in Argentina
and Brazil suggest that investors' risk perception is best addressed
through a roadmap to the process of reform and policy certainty.
Independence of regulatory institutions provide credibility to the
regulatory process which provides comfort to investors while
protecting consumers' interest. An approach for encouraging private
investment in the power sector should focus on reducing risk itself
rather than allocating it (Malhotra, 1997). This would increase the
number of bankable projects, which are rather lacking in developing
countries like India.
Policy reforms undertaken in India, especially the recent
enactment of the Electricity Act 2003, provide a guiding tool for
reforming developing countries. However, the delay in undertaking
such initiatives from opening up of the sector for private investment
should be minimised to get maximum leverage from the reforms
program. Independent regulation complements private investment in
generation and, more specifically, in distribution business.
Developing countries embarking on policy reforms should chalk out a
reform road map as per the prevailing conditions and introduce
independent regulation for inducing greater private investment in the
power sector while protecting consumer interest.
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The views expressed in this paper are the views of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI), the Asian Development Bank (ADB), its Board of Directors, or the governments they represent. ADBI does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this paper and accepts no responsibility for any consequences of their use. Terminology used may not necessarily be consistent with ADB official terms.
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