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HomePublicationsCatalogDeveloping Asian Local Currency Bond Markets: Why and How?Endnotes

Endnotes

1For the purposes of this paper, I consider the “region” as the ASEAN+3 group unless constrained otherwise by data availability.

2Of course, the existence of local currency bond markets is a necessary, but not sufficient, condition for avoiding currency mismatch, as firms may choose not to issue in their local currencies anyway (as many firms did in the current crisis in Eastern Europe). However, improved terms for borrowing in local are likely to decrease the severity of currency mismatch exposure, holding all else equal.

3The rating agencies in question in the study were Korea Investors Service (KIS) and Korea Artings Corp. (KR), which have been subsidiaries of Moody's and Fitch respectively since 2001, and national Information & Credit Evaluation, Inc.(NICE), which is a rating agency with solely Korean ownership.

4To the extent that a bailout of a defaulting euro area member carried positive probability, we would expect convergence in perceived default risk as well. This suggests that not all of the changes in spreads can be ascribed to convergence due to greater liquidity in these markets. Nevertheless, the evidence of decreases in the prevalence of yield curve anomalies provides an independent indication of increased liquidity in these markets subsequent to the advent of the euro.

5Each yield curve in Figure 2, and in the other curve displayed in this paper as well, contains all of the maturities listed on the x axis. The 2003 curve does not extend beyond the 10 year maturity.

6Each yield curve in Figure 2, and in the other curve displayed in this paper as well, contains all of the maturities listed on the x axis. The 2003 curve does not extend beyond the 10 year maturity.

7Joint ministerial statement of the ASEAN + 3 Finance Ministers Meeting, August 7, 2003, Available: http://www.mof.go.jp/english/if/as3_030807e_01.htm.

8Japan International Cooperation Agency (2004).

9The 11 nations in the EMEAP include Australia; the People's Republic of China; Hong Kong, China; Indonesia; Japan; the Republic of Korea; Malaysia; New Zealand; the Philippines; Singapore; and Thailand.

10At the outset, one recognizes a flaw in this argument. The positive imbalances enjoyed by Asian nations as a group in trade requires lending to deficit regions of the world, particularly the United States. Still, the argument could be extended to claim that in the event that more of its capital was recycled internally, global imbalances could be mitigated.

11The figures for holdings of assets within the country group do not include national holdings of securities issued in their home country.

12Longer-term yields were actually higher in Indonesia.

13Of course, the movement in yields is not only attributable to the changes in liquidity in these markets and the appetites for these types of paper, but also to the unprecedented steps taken by central banks over the period to ensure adequate liquidity levels and stimulate their economies.

14While Eichengreen (2007) argues that the current crisis discredited the “spare tire” argument once and for all, there were a number of participants at the ADBI conference, including Alicia Garcia-Herrero and Masahiro Kawai, who argued that bond markets exhibited surprising resilience during the most turbulent periods.

15At that size, Batten and Szilagyi (2007) note that the Arirang market was still only 1.7% of Korea's corporate bond issuance.

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